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Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Evans Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Evans analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Evans Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 4 - 0 Evans

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 59.07% of points on their second serve, while Evans has won 51.63%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 59.25% of their opponent's second serve points, while Evans has won 49.31%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.07% and 26.05% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 62.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Evans has saved 60.31% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 80% of matches played (W/L 56/ 14), with Evans winning 35% (W/L 14/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Evans has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 164/ 98), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 46% (W/L 47/ 55).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Evans has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 27.78% of matches (W/L 5/ 13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Alcaraz winning 4 times and Evans being victorious 0 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 9 and Evans winning 1. The last match between Alcaraz and Evans was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 09-10-2023, Third, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 7-6(1) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:4.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Evans have played a deciding set 0 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Evans 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 1, and Evans 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 93.51 while Evans has played against players with an average rank of 150.7.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Evans has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 45.3% of breakpoint opportunities, and Evans has converted 28.23% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Carlos Alcaraz

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

0

2

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

62

Rank

21

High

34

Age

R

Plays

Daniel Evans

23

Total

0

Mast

9

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

13

Minor

4

Total

0

2

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W W L W W W

Form

L L L L L W W L L L

79% (251-68)

Career Total W/L

60% (552-374)

81% (21-5)

YTD W/L

26% (5-14)

$19,160,640

Career Prize Money

$4,736,130

1

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Evans H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Daniel Evans
All H2H Matches 4 0
Sets Won 9 1
Games Won 59 35
Aces (Total) 19 11
DFs (Total) 6 14
Avg Match Time 2:5:4 2:5:4
1st Serve % 62% (173/279) 58% (195/339)
1st Serve Win% 70% (121/173) 64% (124/195)
2nd Serve Win% 64% (68/106) 40% (57/144)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (19/45) 31% (8/26)
Return Points W% 47% (158/339) 32% (90/279)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (4/0)

Alcaraz VS Evans H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(1) 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Evans
63% ( 41 of 65)
1st Serve %
55% ( 59 of 107)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 29 of 41)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 39 of 59)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 20 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 49 of 107)
94
Total Points Won
78
6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Evans
57% ( 60 of 106)
1st Serve %
58% ( 77 of 132)
6
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
5
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 53 of 77)
70% ( 32 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 23 of 55)
35% ( 6 of 17)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
28% ( 30 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 56 of 132)
132
Total Points Won
106
6-2 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Evans
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve %
57% ( 28 of 49)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
4
70% ( 23 of 33)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 13 of 28)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 18 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 28 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
39
6-4 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Evans
68% ( 39 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 31 of 51)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
39% ( 22 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
60
Total Points Won
48

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Daniel Evans
YTD W/L 81% (21/5) 26% (5/14)
Sets Win/Loss 78% (51/14) 35% (17/31)
Games Win/Loss 61% (359/232) 46% (219/259)
Hard Win/Loss 87% (13/2) 30% (3/7)
Clay Win/Loss 73% (8/3) 22% (2/7)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.26 0.26
Aces Total 75 62
DFs per game 0.14 0.29
DFs Total 41 67
Avg Match Time 1:44:50 2:12:58
Avg Opp Rank 133.38 186.58
1st Serve % 67% (1124/1666) 56% (860/1536)
1st Serve W% 72% (808/1124) 71% (607/860)
2nd Serve W% 58% (316/542) 52% (349/676)
BPs Won% Total 45% (100/222) 28% (35/124)
Return Pts W% 44% (824/1856) 35% (540/1555)
Slam W/L 88% (7/1) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 86% (12/2) 20% (1/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (2/2) 22% (2/7)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 82% (14/17) 29% (5/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 88% (7/8) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 64% (7/11) 10% (1/10)
Deciding Set W% 75% (3/4) 14% (1/7)
1st set W, W 95% (20/19) 57% (7/4)
1st set W, L 5% (20/1) 43% (7/3)
1st set L, W 40% (5/2) 8% (12/1)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63% ( 83 of 131)
1st Serve %
61% ( 63 of 103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 49 of 63)
69% ( 33 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
37% ( 49 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
68% ( 26 of 38)
1st Serve %
58% ( 32 of 55)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 5 of 23)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 14 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
59
Total Points Won
34
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
58% ( 34 of 59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 19 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 35 of 55)
1st Serve %
68% ( 40 of 59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve %
64% ( 30 of 47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 20 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
30% ( 14 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
37
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

Daniel Evans Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Daniel Evans
59% ( 57 of 96)
1st Serve %
49% ( 49 of 101)
8
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 34 of 49)
56% ( 22 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 27 of 52)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 40 of 101)
105
Total Points Won
92
L
6-4 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Daniel Evans
66% ( 61 of 93)
1st Serve %
53% ( 60 of 114)
20
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
79% ( 48 of 61)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 42 of 60)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 29 of 54)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
31% ( 29 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 43 of 114)
107
Total Points Won
100
L
6-3 4-6 7-6(6) H2H
QF
cross
Juncheng Shang
Player
Daniel Evans
68% ( 69 of 101)
1st Serve %
63% ( 49 of 78)
2
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
3
65% ( 45 of 69)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 37 of 49)
59% ( 19 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
37% ( 37 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 78)
95
Total Points Won
84
L
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniel Evans
Player
Harold Mayot
49% ( 33 of 67)
1st Serve %
67% ( 51 of 76)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
68% ( 23 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 17 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 29 of 76)
79
Total Points Won
64
W
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Daniel Evans
Player
Hugo Grenier
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 62)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 25 of 35)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 26 of 62)
66
Total Points Won
60
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Daniel Evans
56% ( 49 of 88)
1st Serve %
56% ( 54 of 97)
3
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 30 of 54)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
41% ( 36 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 44 of 97)
96
Total Points Won
89
L
6-4 3-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Daniel Evans
49% ( 33 of 68)
1st Serve %
60% ( 55 of 92)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
64% ( 21 of 33)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
63% ( 22 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 25 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 92)
86
Total Points Won
74
L
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Daniel Evans
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
67% ( 29 of 43)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 19 of 29)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 16 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 17 of 43)
59
Total Points Won
42
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Daniel Evans
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve %
59% ( 46 of 78)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
34% ( 28 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 30 of 78)
85
Total Points Won
76
L
6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Christopher Eubanks
Player
Daniel Evans
71% ( 78 of 110)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 95)
21
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
74% ( 58 of 78)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 53 of 63)
53% ( 17 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 22 of 32)
0% ( 0 of 2)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
32% ( 35 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
21% ( 20 of 95)
95
Total Points Won
110
L
7-6(3) 3-6 7-6(7) H2H

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